Friday, August 27, 2010

Predicting? Or Profiling?

  • Predictive policing is rooted in the notion that it is possible, through sophisticated computer analysis of information about previous crimes, to predict where and when crimes will occur. At universities and technology companies in the U.S. and abroad, scientists are working to develop computer programs that, in the most optimistic scenarios, could enable police to anticipate, and possibly prevent, many types of crime.

    Some of the most ambitious work is being done at UCLA, where researchers are studying the ways criminals behave in urban settings.

    One, who recently left UCLA to teach at Santa Clara University near San Jose is working to prove he can forecast the time and place of crimes using the same mathematical formulas that seismologists use to predict the distribution of aftershocks from an earthquake.

    Another builds computer simulations of criminals roving through city neighborhoods in order to better understand why they tend to cluster in certain areas and how they disperse when police go looking for them.

Well, it's nice to see the CPD might be stealing from the left coast instead of the right coast for once. That being said, that last paragraph sounds suspiciously like profiling based on neighborhood populations, they're just calling it something else.

We'll bet a shiny new dime the new "Predictive Analysis Unit" is all over this witchcraft.

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30 Comments:

Anonymous Anonymous said...

So does the computer fill out the equivalent of a t.s.s.s card for every analysis? Seems only fair.

Racist computer. Always says crime is in shithead areas or were shitheads are.

8/27/2010 12:24:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Profiling.

8/27/2010 12:38:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Not hard to predict Lil Boo-boo:

Wait 4 more days for disability check, SSI, section 8 voucher and LINK deposit...

Collect money, buy beer, score some weed, find some bitches, repeat...

8/27/2010 01:52:00 AM  
Anonymous Nostradamus said...

CPD "predictive analytics"???

And just how does this improve on colored push pins in a map and inclusion of gang intelligence as was done 40 years ago, pray tell.

8/27/2010 03:25:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

The funny part is that J-Fled's "policy group" and "predictive analysis gureu" couldn't be made merit Sgt. because they only had one year on the job when the Dic's and Sgt.'s test was offered and they were not eligible to take it. But now they tell bosses what to do and they make policy. How fucking sad this department has become.

8/27/2010 04:07:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

So the scientists are saying they a researching the probability of predictability, however the CPD already has the technology. I guess boy wonder goldstein has one over UCLA.

8/27/2010 04:07:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Having previous knowledge of an offender and/or knowledge of previous crimes in certain areas (high crime area) almost always gets objected too and tossed in court doesn't it? Until shit gets straightened out in the court system here in cook county, nothing will change.

8/27/2010 04:52:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Everything that is implemented here comes from Los Angeles and New York. Chicago just changes the name on shit gives some goof a gold star and says they created it. (Ie. Luberman and Goldfinger)

8/27/2010 04:59:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Looks like the CPD is opening itself up to another lawsuit. Except this time it will be a copy right infringement lawsuit.

All this fancy talk of being able to predict crime through the use of computers can be found in the movie MINORITY REPORT.

Look for the openings for the PRE-CRIME UNIT to be posted at a district near you. LMAO!

8/27/2010 06:02:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Minority Report?

8/27/2010 06:11:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Anonymous said...
Not hard to predict Lil Boo-boo:

Wait 4 more days for disability check, SSI, section 8 voucher and LINK deposit...

Collect money, buy beer, score some weed, find some bitches, repeat...

8/27/2010 01:52:00 AM
#################################

The difference between your prediction and P.O. B.G's (oops sorry, director B.G.'s) prediction is that YOU worked the street, you know what Boo boo is going to do based on your street experience.

B.G. has no street experience and thus cannot predict what Boo boo will do. He can ONLY rely on his computer to do that prediction!

8/27/2010 06:25:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Didn't they make a movie about this predictive nonsense...oh yeah another bad Tom Cruise flick, Minority Report. I think I'm going to create a startup fairy dust and magic bean company. These people are buying this shit I surely will be a billionaire!

8/27/2010 06:50:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

My grandmother had a saying about educated people, "The smarter they are, they dumber they are."

Holds true today.

Old fashioned policing is what is going to save Chicago, NOT fucking computers.

---not a cop

8/27/2010 07:08:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

You ahve a kid with 4 yaers on the job, no good arrests making $175,000 per year telling the veteran officers,yes street coppers,who is going to do the next crime? LOL! Hey Gold head your a clouted kid,that we are forced to accept but this bullshit! Let me a KMA member predict this.................... Looking into my computer anaylsis unit....................... Oh no bret when the next boss you know a real cpd copper takes over you will be in the 006th district on midnights learning how to be the police sorry thanks for playing! Hey Brett the experienced coppers lament "We are the game and you kid cannot play us"!

8/27/2010 08:38:00 AM  
Anonymous TEECHUR said...

For centuries, mankind has tried to predict human behavior. Every year, hundreds of books are written on how to make big profits in the stock and commodity markets. None of them ever work because stock price movements are based on HUMAN BEHAVIORS, which are impossible to predict.

But hey, there are still a lot of "scientists" out there looking for the Holy Grail, the Fountain of Youth and the little leprechaun with his Pot of Gold.

I just wish they would focus on something real, like a cure for cancer.

8/27/2010 08:53:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

When I was in Area 4v/c working for Jim Maurer, we worked with Ill Criminal Justice ???? in the`1990's,
to try to predict violent crime with Dr. Rebecca Block.

I guess we were ahead of the country on that one....with no pins.

Never did get results.

8/27/2010 10:11:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Racial profiling..Violation of CPD Orders

8/27/2010 11:19:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

REMEMBER WHO SAID THIS ????

Ennie-meenie- chili-beanie, the spirits are about to Speak !!

Are they Friendly Spirits ?

Friendly ?

Sometimes cartoons are stranger than life.....

8/27/2010 11:30:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Squad can I get an event for a predictive analysis mission!

8/27/2010 11:36:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

more academic bullshit....probably sponsored by the same fools that thought caps was a good idea...

8/27/2010 01:03:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Evidently, some of these researchers are too fucking smart for their own good. Additionally, I have yet to meet, see, greet or communicate with any of these researchers (or liberal activists for that matter, too) who live in the areas they are always researching and protesting for.

When I was working on my master's degree and then did some post graduate studies, the most extreme members of the above groups would never venture to live, shop or visit too long the dangerous areas which were the object of their studies.

My predictive observation based on my studies is that they are naive nitwits.

8/27/2010 01:29:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Roe Conn didn't take even one phone call during his softball ingratiating "interview" with J-Fled. Who's the biggest phony? J-Fled or Roe Conn?

8/27/2010 04:27:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Off Topic from Chicago Breaking News:

Immigrant service groups ask state to pay its bills
August 27, 2010 4:32 PM | A coalition of immigrant social service groups today called on state officials to pay the $7.4 million the groups are owed.

8/27/2010 06:45:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

"B.G. has no street experience and thus cannot predict what Boo boo will do. He can ONLY rely on his computer to do that prediction!

8/27/2010 06:25:00 AM"



where, prey tell, does his computer get the data used to attempt that prediction?

8/27/2010 09:04:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

"All this fancy talk of being able to predict crime through the use of computers can be found in the movie MINORITY REPORT.

Look for the openings for the PRE-CRIME UNIT to be posted at a district near you. LMAO!

8/27/2010 06:02:00 AM"


i predict this to be brett baby's 2nd favorite flick.

any guesses as to his #1 favorite?

8/27/2010 09:06:00 PM  
Anonymous H.R. puffnstuff said...

We were read their To-From 'prediction' the other day at Roll Call.

I asked one question: Has anyone in that unit ever even driven down the Englewoodeses street they 'predicted' the next shooting to occur?

Doubt it.

8/27/2010 10:38:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Are the Policy Group Gals actually pre-cogs in disguise? But who's really calling the Ball?

8/28/2010 01:00:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Didn't anyone see Minority Report??

8/28/2010 05:43:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

You ahve a kid with 4 yaers on the job, no good arrests making $175,000 per year telling the veteran officers


----


who makes $175K

8/28/2010 07:32:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

jfled has $$$ for another phony exempt command staff

patrolman to commander for a meritorious house cat

i predict this
cpd officers will make fewer arrests in 2011

mayor daley will not be reelected
jfled will be looking for a new job and most commanders will be lts again

8/28/2010 08:30:00 AM  

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